Everybody wants to see Spurs VS Heat, but before then comes the Thunder hurdle, and despite the Spurs impressive performance up til now, this is definitely going to be a tough challenge.
The method is exactly the same from my previous post (which correctly identified Thunder beating the Lakers in 5 as the most likely scenario!). Entering the last numbers in the model, here's what came out:
Probability of Spurs winning the series: 55.6%
Series breakout:
| Winner | Number of games | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Spurs | 4 | 6.6% |
| Thunder | 4 | 5.3% |
| Spurs | 5 | 15.8% |
| Thunder | 5 | 9.5% |
| Spurs | 6 | 14.3% |
| Thunder | 6 | 16.9% |
| Spurs | 7 | 19.0% |
| Thunder | 7 | 12.7% |
The three most likely scenarios are:
Spurs in 7 (19.0%), Thunder in 6 (16.9%) and Spurs in 5 (15.8%).
For the overall playoffs, the latest numbers suggests the West as championship favorites for now:
| NBA team | Champion Probability |
|---|---|
| SAS | 34.4% |
| OKC | 25.7% |
| MIA | 21% |
| BOS | 12% |
| IND | 4.6% |
| PHI | 2.4% |
Verdict in the upcoming weeks!
No comments:
Post a Comment